Development of a forecasting model of the change in the volume of international cargo transportation in automobile transport

Abstract

This article analyzes the changes in international freight traffic in road transport and predicts the changes in the results in subsequent periods using the least squares method. At the same time, the developed linear model is checked for reliability using the criteria of mean absolute deviation, mean square deviation, variability and correlation coefficients, the changes in export-import volumes are predicted in 2025-2027, and the necessary recommendations are developed.