Development of a passenger flow forecasting model

Abstract

Providing timely transportation services to passengers in cities is a very complex issue. Because the change in the volume of passenger traffic depends on many factors.
In order to provide transportation services to existing passengers, it is necessary to know their volume in advance, after which it is possible to plan the type and number of vehicles in accordance with the existing volume. For this, it is necessary to develop and predict a forecasting model for determining what the volume of passengers will be in the future. This article is devoted to the development of a model for predicting the volume of passengers that can be transported by regular buses in Tashkent and, based on it, to predict the volume of passengers expected in the coming years. Studies conducted on the forecasting of passenger traffic in passenger transport were studied, a model for predicting the volume of passengers that can be transported by regular buses in Tashkent was developed, and on its basis the expected volume of passengers in the next 10 years was determined.